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venerdì 27 settembre 2013

Climate scientist warns of impending global-cooling crisis

Contrary to the so-called “consensus,” the planet’s climate is not warming, saysDavid Archibald, an Australian scientist and visiting fellow at the The Institute of World Politics (IWP) in Washington, D.C.
“The temperature of the planet is the same as it was 30 years ago,” said Archibald. “The IPCC models have failed.”
While temperatures have increased less than one degree Celsius (yes, less than 1 degree) in the last 150 years, that rise is unremarkable compared to previous increases in earth’s history, said Archibald on Wednesday. That rise came about because “the Sun was more active in the second half of the 20th century than it had been in the previous 8,000 years.”
Even with the higher solar activity, that small amount of warming is nothing new.
Temperature spikes have occurred for hundreds of thousands of years and were slightly higher in the Roman Empire and Medieval periods, according to a Swedish study and data from ice cores in Vostok, Antarctica, said Archibald.
In fact, it has been warmer than today for MOST of the past 10,000 years, says Dr. Don Easterbrook, Professor of Geology at Western Washington University.

Easterbrook-Natural_global_warming
Created by Cuffy and Clow in 1997, and based on Greenland ice core records, this chart shows global temperatures for the past 15,000 years.

Sometimes severe cooling comes out of the blue
Now, solar activity suggests that global temperatures will fall 2 to 3 degrees Celsius by 2040, said Archibald. “And sometimes severe cooling comes out of the blue.”
That could wreak havoc on the world’s food supply by potentially reducing global grain production by 400 million tonnes—mirroring the skyrocketing crop costs and 200,000 European deaths sparked by the 1816 eruption of Mt. Tambora in Indonesia.
See slides from Archibald’s presentation here.
Thanks to Ron de Haan for this link
Archibald, who is credited as the first scientist to develop a method for using solar sunspot cycles to predict temperatures, also predicts that “sea level will start falling again.”
Where will that moisture go? It will start accumulating on land as ice, just as I have been predicting.

http://iceagenow.info/2013/09/climate-scientist-warns-impending-global-cooling-crisis/